For more than three years, stocks and precious metals have been moving in the same direction��orth. But in the last twelve months, precious metals and stocks parted ways. Stocks continue to head north, while precious metals head south. The SPDR Gold Shares (NYSE:GLD) are down close to 25 percent; and the iShares Silver Trust (NYSE:SLV) down close to 40 percent. The SPDR S&P500 (NYSE:SPY) is up more than 30 percent, while the SPDR Dow Jones Average (NYSE:DIA) follows closely behind.
What�� behind this divergence? Will precious metals catch up with stocks, or the other way around?
These are certainly complex questions, but the answer is simple.
In the early days, both precious metals and stocks rallied on cheap money coming from several rounds of QE, but on different premises. Precious metals rallied on the premise that cheap money will fuel runway commodity inflation��he ��ilk��of commodity market rallies, as there are no dividends to compensate investors for holding precious metals. Stocks rallied on the premise that easy money will fuel a new economic boom, boosting corporate earnings��he ��ilk��of equity market rallies, as they provide funds for dividends and stock buybacks.
Top Mid Cap Stocks To Buy For 2015: S&P Smallcap 600(PH)
Parker Hannifin Corporation manufactures fluid power systems, electromechanical controls, and related components worldwide. Its Industrial segment offers pneumatic and electromechanical components, and systems; filters, systems, and instruments to monitor and remove contaminants from fuel, air, oil, water, and other liquids and gases; connectors that control, transmit, and contain fluid; hydraulic components and systems for builders and users of industrial and mobile machinery and equipment; critical flow components for process instrumentation, healthcare, and ultra-high-purity applications; and static and dynamic sealing devices. This segment sells its products to original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and their replacement markets in the manufacturing, transportation, and processing industries. The company?s Aerospace segment provides flight control systems and components, including hydraulic, electrohydraulic, electric backup hydraulic, electrohydrostatic, and electro -mechanical components for precise control of aircraft rudders, elevators, ailerons, and other aerodynamic control surfaces. It also provides electronics thermal management heat rejection systems, and single-phase and two-phase heat collection systems for radar, ISAR, and power electronics. This segment markets its products primarily to OEMs in the commercial, military, and general aviation markets, as well as to end users. Its Climate and Industrial Controls segment offers systems and components primarily for use in the mobile and stationary refrigeration, and air conditioning industry; and in fluid control applications in various industries, such as processing, fuel dispensing, beverage dispensing, and mobile emissions. This segment serves OEMs and their replacement markets. Parker-Hannifin Corporation markets its products through direct-sales employees, independent distributors, wholesalers, and sales representatives. The company was founded in 1918 and is headquartered i n Cleveland, Ohio.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Ben Levisohn]
But don’t just buy any company, DeBlase says. Instead, focus on those that have EPS momentum, which has generated outperformance in 10 of the past 11 years, DeBlase says. As a result, investors should prefer Terex (TEX), her top pick, and Agco (AGCO), which she rates Outperform. John Deere (DE) and Parker Hannifin (PH) get tarred with Underweight ratings.
- [By Ben Levisohn]
The market in aggregate might have gone nowhere, but that wasn’t for lack of big moves from individual stocks. Parker-Hannifin (PH) gained 2.4% to $115.06 after it was upgraded to Outperform from Neutral at Baird, while Newmont Mining (NEM) gained 2.2% as gold miners headed higher today.
- [By Charles Mizrahi, President and CEO, Hampton Investors, Inc.]
Parker Hannifin (PH) generates strong revenue from its aerospace division, while its primary industrial segment is lagging.
Overall, we like the company's balanced portfolio. PH had solid order rates this past year with backlog of $3.6 billion between its industrial and aerospace segments.
Hot Cheap Companies For 2014: Emerson Electric Company(EMR)
Emerson Electric Co. operates as a diversified manufacturing and technology company. The company engages in appliance solutions, climate technologies, industrial automation, motor technology, network power, process management, professional tools, and storage solutions businesses. Its appliance solutions business provides appliance controls, appliance motors, heating products, and white-rodgers; climate technology business provides heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration (HVACR) solutions for residential, industrial, and commercial applications; and industrial automation business offers bearings and power transmission products, electrical power generation products, electric motors, variable speed drives and servos, electrical products, material joining solutions, fluid automation products, and wind turbine systems. The company?s motor technology business provides appliance motors, HVACR motors, DC motors, fractional horsepower motors, integral horsepower a nd larger motors, and drives; network power business provides power, precision cooling, connectivity, and embedded solutions; and process management business provides various wireless related products from self-organizing field networks to wireless asset and people tracking. Its professional tools business offers pipe working and threading equipment, pressing technology, utility locating and visual diagnostics systems, drain maintenance tools, power tools, air tools, general purpose hand tools, wet/dry vacs, job site storage equipment, truck tool boxes and equipment, and van storage equipment; and storage solutions business provides shelving and storage products for residential, commercial, and foodservice needs, as well as offers specialized carts, mobile computer workstations, and cabinet fixtures. The company was founded in 1890 and is headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Paul Vigna]
Emerson Electric Co.(EMR) said its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings fell 48% as the manufacturer continues to struggle with geopolitical turmoil and macroeconomic weakness.
- [By Rising Dividend Investing]
Pent Up Demand Pushing Cyclical Stocks
We are coming out of a lengthy period of decreased spending in the wake of 2008-09, which has built pent up demand for automobiles, housing and capital expenditures. The average age of vehicles on the road has reached a record high of 11.4 years. Demand for new houses fell off dramatically since the Great Recession. The average U.S. home was built in 1974 and continues to age.
As people have chosen to fix rather than replace their vehicles and homes, we’ve seen the replacement-type industries do very well. Auto Retail’s second quarter sales and earnings per share were up 14.7% and 18.6%, respectively. Home improvement retail grew sales nearly 10% with earnings up 20% from second quarter 2012.
Adding to the pent up demand for housing is the number of young people living with their parents rather than buying or renting on their own. According to real-estate marketplace Trulia, the number of “missing households” (Americans who would currently be owning or renting a home if pre-recession economic trends had continued) was up to 2.4 million in March. More than half of these missing households are 18 to 34-year-olds.
This pent up demand extends beyond just the immediate products being bought by consumers. Businesses have held off replacing durable goods since the recession. All of this excess demand will have to be released at some point. Eventually, these homes and vehicles will exceed their useful life and need to be replaced. To meet the need for the excess demand, companies will not be able to hold off re-investing in new plant equipment.
We’ve seen the beginning of this demand in 2013 and believe there is more to come. The market is buying into this as well, as more growth and manufacturing oriented sectors – such as Consumer Discretionary and Industrials – have performed well over the near-term.
Share prices for stocks in the Industrial sectors are mo - [By Ben Levisohn]
Barclays’ Scott Davis and team believe it might be, and for evidence they look at�3M (MMM), Emerson Electric (EMR), Rockwell Automation (ROK), and MSC Industrial Direct (MSM). They write:
Hot Cheap Companies For 2014: Merck & Company Inc.(MRK)
Merck & Co., Inc. provides various health solutions through its prescription medicines, vaccines, biologic therapies, animal health, and consumer care products. The company?s Pharmaceutical segment provides human health pharmaceutical products, such as therapeutic and preventive agents for the treatment of human disorders in the areas of bone, respiratory, immunology, dermatology, cardiovascular, diabetes and obesity, infectious diseases, neurosciences and ophthalmology, oncology, vaccines, and women's health and endocrine. This segment also offers human health vaccines, such as preventive pediatric, adolescent, and adult vaccines. Its Animal Health segment discovers, develops, manufactures, and markets animal health products. This segment offers antibiotics, anti-inflammatory products, vaccines, products for the treatment of fertility disorders, and parasiticides for cattle, swine, horses, poultry, dogs, cats, salmons, and fish. The Consumer Care segment develops, manufac tures, and markets over-the-counter, foot care, and sun care products. Its over-the-counter product line includes non-drowsy antihistamines; treatment for occasional constipation; decongestant-free cold/flu medicine for people with high blood pressure; nasal decongestant spray; and treatment for frequent heartburn. This segment?s foot care products comprise topical antifungal, and foot and sneaker odor/wetness products; and sun care products include sun care lotions, sprays and dry oils; and sunburn relief products. The company serves drug wholesalers and retailers, hospitals, government agencies, physicians, physician distributors, veterinarians, animal producers, and managed health care providers, as well as food chain and mass merchandiser outlets in the United States and Canada. Merck & Co., Inc. was founded in 1891 and is headquartered in Whitehouse Station, New Jersey.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Brian Orelli]
Zoetis looks like a solid company. Sales in the first quarter were up 5% year over year, which topped the 4% growth Merck (NYSE: MRK ) saw with its animal health division and solidly trumped Elanco, Eli Lilly's (NYSE: LLY ) animal health division, which saw sales up just 2%.
- [By Brian Orelli]
At least some companies will
With three players in the mix -- in addition to Bristol and Roche, Merck's (NYSE: MRK ) lambrolizumab works using the same mechanism of action -- it isn't clear which company will win this game. Lambrolizumab produced a 52% response rate at the highest dose tested. Roche's MPDL3280A produced a 36% overall response rate in a variety of different types of tumors that stained positive for its target. Without any control arms in the phase 1 studies, though, it's impossible to compare the trials and declare a winner. - [By Jim Lowell, Partner and Chief Investment Strategist, Adviser Investments]
He owns names that have global imprint, but pretty much, are domestically based, so his international equity stake is under 8% of the overall portfolio, but the companies that he owns—Apple (AAPL), GE (GE), Wells Fargo (WFC), Microsoft (MSFT), Google (GOOG), he also owns Merck (MRK), JP Morgan (JPM)—they've got a global footprint, so I like the safety in numbers.
- [By John Divine]
Merck (NYSE: MRK ) added 2% today after shares in the pharmaceutical company were reiterated at outperform by BMO Capital. BMO Capital also raised its price target on shares to $54, citing a strengthening pipeline. It's the second straight day of strong gains for the stock. Yesterday, shares traded nearly 4% higher on news that a Merck drug achieved impressive results in the treatment of advanced melanoma.�
Hot Cheap Companies For 2014: Wendy's/Arby's Group Inc.(WEN)
The Wendy's Company operates as a quick-service hamburger company in the United States. The company, through its subsidiary, Wendy's International, Inc., operates as a franchisor of the Wendy's restaurant system. As of December 26, 2011, the Wendy's system comprised approximately 6,500 franchise and company restaurants in the United States and the United States territories, as well as in 26 other countries worldwide. The company was formerly known as Wendy's/Arby's Group, Inc. and changed its name to The Wendy's Company in July 2011. The Wendy's Company was founded in 1884 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ohio.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By MONEYMORNING]
His greatest success has been with The Wendy's Co. (Nasdaq: WEN), which has enjoyed a stunning 97% gain since Peltz began engineering changes to the fast food chain in mid-2011.
- [By WWW.DAILYFINANCE.COM]
Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg via Getty Images It's apparently never too early to have a hamburger. While most chains wait until 10 or 11 a.m. to begin offering their signature burgers, early risers will be able to skip straight to lunch at thousands of participating Burger King (BKW) locations. The fast food giant's betting that some morning commuters want more than just a breakfast burrito or a ham and egg sandwich for breakfast. Later this month Burger King is rolling out a "burgers for breakfast" campaign across 5,000 of its restaurants, offering its signature Whopper as well as a few other burgers and chicken sandwiches in the morning. Assuming that you don't want hash browns on the side, fries will also be made available. So will apple pie. Whopper, BK King and Original Fried Chicken sandwiches will be part of the chain's breakfast offerings. Will it confuse diners? Will the move complicate matters for employees manning the prep tables and fryers? Will the great variety stall patrons as they ponder the menu when it's time to order, creating longer wait times for food? The questions won't be answered right away, but Burger King doesn't have much of a choice. Breakfast is big business, and chains have to stand out one way or another. Another Shot in the Battle for Breakfast It isn't easy to make a difference in the morning. Just ask Wendy's (WEN), which has already retreated twice from the national breakfast market over the past decade. The first time it thought that it could set itself apart by offering sausage gravy-soaked biscuits and breakfast versions of its then-popular Frescata sandwiches. More recently it tried to stick closer to the McDonald's (MCD) playbook with oatmeal, breakfast burritos and biscuit sandwiches. That didn't pan out either, and last year it discontinued breakfast at all but less than 10 percent of its restaurants. It's not just the burger flippers hoping to woo diners with caffeinated mornings. Subway -- the world's largest restaur
- [By Lauren Pollock]
Office Depot Inc.(ODP) has added a second former Wendy's Co.(WEN) executive to the office retailer’s new executive team, naming Stephen Hare to serve in the chief financial officer role, effective immediately.
Hot Cheap Companies For 2014: UnitedHealth Group Incorporated(UNH)
UnitedHealth Group Incorporated provides healthcare services in the United States. Its Health Benefits segment offers consumer-oriented health benefit plans and services to national employers, public sector employers, mid-sized employers, small businesses, and individuals; and non-employer based insurance options for purchase by individuals. It also provides health and well-being services for individuals aged 50 and older; and for services dealing with chronic disease and other specialized issues for older individuals, as well as health plans for the beneficiaries of acute and long-term care Medicaid plans. This segment offers its services through a network of 730,000 physicians and other health care professionals, and 5,300 hospitals. Its OptumHealth segment provides health, financial, and ancillary services and products that assist consumers through personalized health management solutions; benefit administration, and clinical and network management; health-based financi al services; behavioral solutions; and specialty benefits, such as dental, vision, life, critical illness, short-term disability, and stop-loss product offerings. The company?s Ingenix segment offers database and data management services, software products, publications, consulting and actuarial services, business process outsourcing services, and pharmaceutical data consulting and research services. Its Prescription Solutions segment provides integrated pharmacy benefit management services comprising retail network pharmacy contracting and management, claims processing, mail order pharmacy services, specialty pharmacy, benefit design consultation, rebate contracting and management, drug utilization review, formulary management programs, disease therapy management, and adherence programs to employer groups, union trusts, managed care organizations, Medicare-contracted plans, Medicaid plans, and third party administrators. The company was founded in 1974 and is based in Minne tonka, Minnesota.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Sue Chang and Saumya Vaishampayan]
Health-care-related stocks were strong with UnitedHealth Group Inc. (UNH) �up 3.1% after the stock was upgraded to buy from hold at Deutsche Bank. Analysts cited UnitedHealth�� improving margin risk profile and its more conservative approach to the public exchanges in 2014 as reasons for the upgrade. Tenet Healthcare Corp. (THC) �shares also rose 4.9%.
- [By Johanna Bennett]
In a note published today, Goldman Sachs analysts Robert Boroujerdi, John Marshall, Michael Chanin and Krag Gregory say not much gfear�has been�priced into put options for either the S&P 500 or stocks with higher exposure to government spending. As a result, they suggest one of the following hedging strategies:
Buy the optimal SPX puts to hedge a 5% down-move: Buying a November 1650 put on the S&P 500 index costs 1.2% and Goldman estimates a 2.7-to-1 payout if the index falls 5% by mid-October. Beware of government exposure: The firm tracks a basket of more than 100 companies that derive at least 20% of their revenue from the government. Though the list includes defense contractors and tech giant, more than half of the names are health-care companies, including Amgen (AMGN), HCA (HCA) and UnitedHealth Group (UNH). Buy puts on stocks with high government exposure: November puts on government-exposed names cost 2.4% on average (5% out of the money strike) - [By Paul Ausick]
Today�� big loser among the Dow 30 stocks was UnitedHealth Group Inc. (NYSE: UNH). Shares closed down 2.27% at $69.74 in a 52-week range of $52.51 to $77.33. The federal government is set to announce next week preliminary reimbursement rates for 2015 Medicare Advantage participants, of which UnitedHealth is the largest. The rates are expected to be lowered. UnitedHealth�� volume today was about 25% higher than the daily average of around 4.5 million shares.
Hot Cheap Companies For 2014: Global Payments Inc.(GPN)
Global Payments Inc. provides electronic transaction processing services for merchants, independent sales organizations (ISO), financial institutions, government agencies, and multi-national corporations located in the United States, Canada, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific region. It offers a comprehensive line of processing solutions for credit and debit cards; business-to-business purchasing cards; gift cards; and electronic check conversion and check guarantee, verification, and recovery, including electronic check services, as well as terminal management. The company also offers proprietary software products to establish revolving check cashing limits for the casinos? customers in the gaming industry. In addition, it sells, installs, and services automated teller machine and point of sale terminals; and provides card issuing services, including card management and card personalization. The company markets its products directly, as well as through ISOs, retail outlets, tra de associations, alliance bank relationships, and financial institutions. Global Payments Inc. has a joint venture with La Caixa Group to provide merchant acquiring services to merchants in Spain. Global Payments Inc. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia.
Advisors' Opinion:- [By Laura Brodbeck]
Thursday
Earnings Expected From: Global Payents Inc. (NYSE: GPN), Micron Technology, Inc. (NASDAQ: MU), Synnex Corporation (NYSE: SNX) Economic Releases Expected: �US services PMI, Canadian imports and exports, US trade balance, eurozone services PMI, ECB interest rate decision, British services PMIFriday
- [By Monica Gerson]
Global Payments (NYSE: GPN) reported upbeat fiscal first-quarter results and raised its annual forecast. Global Payments named Jeffrey S. Sloan as its new chief executive and announced its plans to buy back up to $100 million of its common stock. Global Payments shares surged 6.80% to $54.15 in the after-hours trading session.
No comments:
Post a Comment